The latest vote vibe survey that came out before the Bihar assembly elections has created a stir in politics. The survey is based on three different cinematics and Prashant Kishore’s party Jan Swaraj is estimated to get about 10 percent of the votes. The only difference is which coalition these votes will be cut and who will benefit

In the first cineri, 5 percent of the 10 percent of the vote of Jan Swaraj is seen cutting due to India alliance. In this situation, the vote share of India alliance is 34 percent. NDA’s vote share becomes 42 percent. In such a situation, the possibility of formation of NDA government under the leadership of Nitish Kumar is most visible.

Second Cinereo Vote with NDA
In other cineri, Jan Swaraj draws 5 percent of the votes from NDA. This makes NDA’s vote share 37 percent. At the same time, the vote share of India alliance reaches 39 percent. In this situation, the bet is completely overturned and India, led by Tejashwi Yadav, comes in a position to form a coalition government.

Third cinerio cut equal vote from both alliances
In the third cinema, Jan Swaraj cuts two equal votes from both NDA and India alliance. The remaining 5 percent votes come from other parties. In this situation, NDA’s vote share is 39 percent and India alliance vote share is 36 percent. Here the NDA gets an edge, but the distance remains only 3 percent.

Profile of supporters of Jan Swaraj
According to the survey, supporters of Jan Swaraj are mostly young and troubled by unemployment. About 20 percent of the youth between the ages of 18 to 24 are supporting this party. 15 percent from upper castes, 13 percent from Muslim community, 9 percent from OBC, 6 percent from Scheduled Castes and 11 percent from tribal class. It is clear from this that Prashant Kishore’s appeal is multi-level and is affecting different sections of the society.

Possible advantage for India alliance
The second cinery of the survey is considered to be the most beneficial for the India alliance. With the impact of Jan Swaraj, the vote share of India alliance can reach 39 percent. If seat sharing is agreed and the Congress gave full support to Tejashwi Yadav, then the possibility of forming a Grand Alliance government may increase further.

Electoral equation and kingmaker role
The results of the survey show that the NDA has the benefit in the first and third cinery. At the same time, India alliance gets closer to power in other cinematics. It has also become clear that Prashant Kishore’s Jan Swaraj Party can play the role of kingmaker in this election.

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